Tuesday, July 27, 2010

Heinrich and Barela leading in CD1

Say what?

Yep, both U.S. Rep. Martin Heinrich and challenger John Barela are ahead in the polls in the race for the state's 1st Congressional District, according to their respective supporters.

From Heinrich's camp:
According to a survey conducted earlier this month among likely voters in the November election, Heinrich leads Barela by double digits — 53 to 41 percent. Heinrich has led in this race throughout the year with broad support. Heinrich leads Barela among Anglo and Hispanic voters, among both men and women, as well as with younger and older voters.

(That survey is from Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research)

And from the state GOP, which points to a story on a survey showing the race is 51-45 in Barela's favor:

Survey USA polled 559 likely voters from July 22-25, with a margin of error of 4.2%. Barela’s lead exceeds the margin of error and he is also over the “magic” 50% line that pollsters like to talk about.

I got both press releases today, as I was getting ready to write something about another race that's apparently just as close. (The gubernatorial matchup.) But it seems that CD 1 might be just as up in the air as the Denish-Martinez contest, at least according to those polls...

Of course we could spend all day here arguing about the accuracy of polls.


  1. Barela's magic lead is from a poll paid for by KKKOB. There's a historic reason for the extra letters which even conservative bloggers acknowledge.

  2. hey new mexico there is a constitutional party canidate runing also, the news does not cover him because look who owns the news. we need new blood not the same partys and agenda rep and demos have saem agenda. Let change make eal change vote for the constutional party rep